Thursday 31 October 2013

Live Trade Net Result on 30.10.13

TOTAL MTM - Rs 1,0,7600/- on 29.10.13 LEDGER BALANCE.
29.10.13 - Break


TOTAL NO OF TRADES - 2
POSITIVE - 2
NEGATIVE - 0

TRADE 1 - SILVERM - LONG - NET PROFIT -       Rs    1500
TRADE 2 - CRUDE OIL - LONG - NET PROFIT -      Rs  3500

Net Profit - Rs 5,000/-

TOTAL MTM - Rs 1,0,7600+ 5,000 - on 31.10.13 LEDGER BALANCE.

INITIAL MARGIN - 1,00,000 + Reserve Margin Rs 50,000

Net Profit - Rs 12,600/-

Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on SilverM on 30.10.13 ..Part 2

 High so far 50450 > Start Booking Profits CMp 50310((Silver M Mcx Nov : Buy at Present Levels(Cmp 49970)up to 49850 TGT 50550 Sl Below 49500 Time: 5:52:42 PM)) 10/30/2013 : 7:16:08 PM


As Per Call..

Bought  1 Lot @ 49970
Sold 1 Lot @ 50310

Net Profit - Rs 1500/-

Revision of Trade Timing


Due to international daylight saving timings, the evening trading hours at the Exchange would be extended till
11:55 p.m. on week-days in MCX & NCDEX (Mondays through Fridays) from the current trading hours which are up to 11:30 p.m.

The revised trade timings are as follows.

Days
Timings
 Commodities

WEEK-DAYS
 10:00 a.m. to 05:00 p.m.
 Agri Commodities

WEEK-DAYS
 10:00 a.m. to 11:55 p.m.
 Bullions, Metals & Energy



SATURDAYS
 10:00 a.m. to 02:00 p.m.
 Agri Commodities

The new evening trading hours would be effective from November 04, 2013 to March 08, 2014 (Both days inclusive).

Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Crude Oil on 30.10.13 ..Part 1

Crude Oil Mcx NOV:Start booking profit Cmp 5978(Sell at present level cmp 6018 and on pull backs up to 6028 tgt 5964 sl above 6070) 10/30/2013 : 4:46:45 PM


 Crude-nov SELL below 603.9 : Stoploss at 6060 : Target 6012 : Cmp 6039 : 



As Per Above Calls, 

Sold 1 Lot @ 6018
Bought 1 Lot @ 5978

Net Profit - Rs 4000/- (Including Brok)

As Per monitoring of International Market & INR  Move Trend We can Predict the Bearish Mode..

U.S. crude prices have slid in recent weeks amid concerns the recent U.S. government shutdown dampened an already lackluster economic recovery and eroded demand in the world’s largest oil consumer.

Soft economic indicators released Wednesday pushed prices lower as well.

Tuesday 29 October 2013

Live Trade Net Result on 28.10.13

TOTAL NO OF TRADES - 6
POSITIVE - 6
NEGATIVE - 0

TRADE 1 - NICKELM - LONG - NET PROFIT -       Rs     600
TRADE 2 - CRUDE OIL - LONG - NET PROFIT -      Rs  1300
TRADE 3 - NATURAL GAS- LONG - NET PROFIT - Rs  2500
TRADE 4 - CRUDE OIL - LONG - NET PROFIT -      Rs  2500
TRADE 5 - NICKELM - SHORT - NET PROFIT -      Rs     200
TRADE 6 - COPPER - LONG - NET PROFIT -           Rs     500


TOTAL NET PROFIT - Rs 7600 +  MARGIN 1,00,000 + Reserve Rs 50,000

TOTAL MTM - Rs 1,0,7600/- on 29.10.13 LEDGER BALANCE.

Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Nickel & Copper on 28.10.13 ..Part 6


Trade - 5

Nickel Mcx Oct : Sell at Present Levels(Cmp 894.8)Up to 897 tgt 882 SL Above 906 10/28/2013 : 8:04:28 PM

Sold Nickel M @ 894.80
Bought Nickel @ 891.80
Net Profit - Rs 300/-




Trade - 6

Book Maximum Profits CMp 446.4((Copper Mcx Nov : Sell at Present Levels(Cmp 447.2)Up to 447.9 Tgt 444 SL Above 450 Time: 9:05:25 PM)) 10/28/2013 : 11:26:16 PM

Sold Copper @ 447.20
Bought Copper @ 446.40
Net Profit - Rs 500/-



Monday 28 October 2013

Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Crude Oil on 28.10.13 ..Part 5



TGT hits, next Res:6135/6160((Crude Oil Mcx Nov:Buy at present level cmp 6043 and on dips up to 6033 tgt 6100 sl below 5993 10/28/2013 : 1:29:42 PM)) 10/28/2013 : 8:18:46 PM

TOTAL MARGIN = Rs 1,00,000 + Reserve Rs 50,000

Used Margin - Rs 80,000+

Trade Details

(Crude Oil Mcx Nov:Buy at present level cmp 6043 and on dips up to 6033 tgt 6100 sl below 5993 10/28/2013 : 1:29:42 PM)

Buy 1 Lot @ 6065
Sell 1 Lot @ 6095

Net Profit  = Rs 3000/-(Including Brok)


Net Profit = Rs 2500 /- (Excluding Brokerage)

TOTAL MARGIN = Rs 1,00,00 + Net Profit Rs 2500

Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Natural Gas on 28.10.13 ..Part 4


Trade on Natural Gas

TOTAL MARGIN = Rs 1,00,000 + Reserve Rs 50,000

Used Margin - Rs 30,000+

Trade Details


Sold 1 Lot @ 222.50
Buy 1 Lot @ 220.0

Net Profit  = Rs 2500/-

On Trade - 3
Net Profit =  Add Rs 2500/-





Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Natural Gas on 28.10.13 ..Part 3


Today  morning  International Market price of Natural Gas..Trend Seems Bearish..

So due to bearish mode result ..MCX Opened by Gap down..

Mostly at the end of the Contract Closing ..Natural Gas Rate Should be down

Reason :

1. Today Current   (28.10.13 ) Contract 'll Expired..So most of the Players 'll move on Next Month Contract.

2. Current and Next Month Contract Rate difference..Rs 7/-
OCTOBER MONTH - OPEN RATE  -     226.90
NOVEMBER  MONTH - OPEN RATE  - 234.0

Actually there's Rs 7/- difference..as per my strategy..always rate difference 'll be around Rs 3/-

Before Contract Closing ,Next Month Contract Price 'll down to Current Month Open Price or Near...

Ref below image..Exactly match the price..0.20 Paise only Difference.




And Pls find the Trading Strategy ..thru Old Contract Note..





Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Crude Oil on 28.10.13 ..Part 2


TOTAL MARGIN = Rs 1,00,00 + Reserve Rs 50,000

Used Margin - Rs 80,000+

Trade Details

(Crude Oil Mcx Nov:Buy at present level cmp 6043 and on dips up to 6033 tgt 6100 sl below 5993 10/28/2013 : 1:29:42 PM)

Buy 1 Lot @ 6043
Sell 1 Lot @ 6060

Net Profit  = Rs 1700/-(Including Brok)

Total Trades - 2
Total Profit  - Rs 700 + 1700 = Rs 2400/-

Net Profit = Rs 2000 /- (Excluding Brokerage)

TOTAL MARGIN = Rs 1,00,000 + Net Profit Rs 2000

20% Profit Acheived

Live Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Nickel on 28.10.13 ..Part 1



TOTAL MARGIN - Rs 1 Lakh + Reserve Margin Rs 50,000
TRADE START ON 28.10.13
 MARGIN USED : Rs 10,000 +

Trade Details:
Nickel Mcx OCT:high so far is 900.40 Book profit cmp 899.3 Buy at present level cmp 893.5And on dips upto 891 tgt 907 sl below 880 10/28/2013 : 2:15:43 PM
Bought Nickel M @ 893.50
Sold Nickel M @ 900.50

Net Profit = Rs 700 (Including Brok)

TOTAL MARGIN - Rs 1 Lakh +  Profit Rs 700

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on LeadM on 25.10.13 ..Part 1


Saturday 26 October 2013

Effect of Economic Calender on Commodity Trading

We have taken a view of factors which affects commodity market. Hopefully it will helpful to commodity traders.

First of all we should understand that though we are trading in Indian exchanges, domestic events have a very small role to play in commodities unlike to equity markets. Data releases from United States, European countries, Major metal consumer/producers countries like China, Chiele have major role to play in commodity market.

1. Indian market takes clue from International market like NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange), LME (London Metal Exchange) and varies accordingly.
Demand-Supply: More is demand; there will be more price rise. There is daily, weekly inventory data release from London metal exchange.Demand supply ratio can also be changed due to events like labor strikes at important strikes, environmental issues, Geopolitical situations etc.

2. Major factor which affects the base metal prices is Jobless Data (Unemployment claims) release from US. It is an indicator which majors the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance with the government for the first week than in the last week. In general, higher is unemployment, bad news for base metals and dollar which is U.S. currency.

3. Next important release is GDP release. GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is a primary Gauge of any nation’s health. Good GDP numbers especially from US and other European countries leads to more risk taking and rise in commodities like base metals.

4. FOMC meeting releases: US Federal Reserve declares the information about economic health and Federal reserve interest rates time to time .It has instantaneous effect on marker, especially precious metals like Gold and Silver are major to affect.

5 Retail Sales: This report is change in the total value in the retail sales. Positive figures indicate economic growth.

6. Housing starts/New Home sales: This report is a measure of the number of new residential buildings which began construction during the previous month. It’s a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching riffle effect.

7. Crude oil inventories are released normally on Wednesday (8 Pm IST),, has instantaneous effect on crude oil prices.

8. Natural Gas inventories are released, In general every Thursday (8:30PM IST).Report has instant effect on Natural Gas prices.

Tuesday 22 October 2013

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on NickelM on 22.10.13 ..Part 1

Nickel Mcx OCt: Buy at present level cmp 891 and on dips upto 888 tgt 905 sl below 878 10/22/2013 : 10:20:38 AM



Nickel Mcx OCt: Start booking profit cmp 900 buy at present level cmp 891 and on dips upto 888 tgt 905 sl below 878 10/22/2013 : 1:10:59 PM

Monday 21 October 2013

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on NickelM on 21.10.13 ..Part 2

Buy at present level cmp 873.7 And on dips upto 871 tgt 888 sl below 862 10/21/2013 : 10:10:58 AM

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Crude Oil on 21.10.13



Crude Oil Mcx Oct: Sell at cmp 6190 and on pullbacks upto 6200tgt 6130 sl above6240 10/21/2013 : 3:43:44 PM

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on NickelM on 21.10.13

Nickel Mcx OCT: Buy at present level cmp 873.7 And on dips upto 871 tgt 888 sl below 862 10/21/2013 : 10:10:58 AM



Friday 18 October 2013

Thursday 17 October 2013

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Crude Oil on 17.10.13


Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on SilverM Oil on 17.10.13


Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal and Live Trade on Crude Oil on 17.10.13

Crude-oct SELL below 6292 : Stoploss at 6327 : Target 6263 : Cmp 6294 : DISCLAIMER :
17 Oct 13, 10:39 AM



How to react on Crude Oil Data Inventories?


Every Wednesday, Crude oil inventories are released in America. We all simply know the difference between previous data and actual data and whether it is bearish or bullish.....

But know one thing.... Data shows bullish... All the traders buy the crude... What will happen? upper circuit?..... Always not possible...

Data shows bearish..... All the traders sell the crude...what will happen? lower circuit?... Always not possible....

Then how to react the data? Actually Crude oil inventory data is connected with Fundamental Analysis... not with Technical Analysis...

But, Technical Trading is given importance by winning traders for crude oil trading. So here we can classify into three reaction by three types of traders...

Generally, Fundamentally if Crude oil shows high bullishness or bearishness on its data, It reverses its major trend in intraday....that means sudden up or fall by 100 to 150 points.... in normal circumstance, always it is not going up or down by such more points....

Are you an intraday player? Dont take any position on Data time... Cut your position before 8 Pm. and watch the data... and See the movement... After Release of the data... dont take position....you take a strict decision, i never trade after 8 pm in crude oil on wednesday....This will save your capital and become a winning trader longtime....



Are you a positional trader? Dont worry about Data release... be with your position which is correctly with major trend... that means ... major trend can be found from hourly chart... you know well, when the major trend changes with hourly chart... until then, you can hold your position.. no need to worry about data release.. if the data is against you, you know well, Losses are the part of the business... and if the trend changes in hourly or 30 minutes chart, you will change your position as per your strategy based on technical analysis

Are you a High Net Worth individual? They always have the good chance anytime.... if the data is negative and crude goes up... they only have the chance to sell again whenever the prices goes up and average their position... because money is always not a problem.. and they are also not worrying about technical analysis.... if the data is positive and crude goes down, they again have chance to buy at lower prices and average their position again...

Generally in normal circumstances... After data release , there will be some volatile movement after 8 Pm........ but after 8.30 Pm, it will go in the same direction most of the time... so you can predict the movement of direction after 8.30 only if you are a momentum trader...

This is my general experience with crude inventory data every week.... So i always suggest intraday players, dont engage with market and loose your capital... Save the capital for next day trading.. this is my kind suggestion.. sometimes it may give good profit... most of the time, it confuses intraday players and takes money...this is the real one.

Wednesday 16 October 2013

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal Live Trade on LeadM on 16.10.13

 Leadm Oct mcx: Buy at present levels ( cmp 131.7) Dips to 131.50 TGT 133.60 SL at 130 10/16/2013 : 7:33:52 PM


Start booking profts cmp 132.60((Leadm Oct mcx: Buy at present levels ( cmp 131.70) Dips to 131.50 TGT 133.60 SL at 130 10/16/2013 : 7:33:52 PM)) 10/16/2013 : 11:14:06 PM

Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal Live Trade on Copper on 16.10.13



TGT hits (Copper mcx nov: Buy at present level (cmp 450.80) Upto 450.40 Target 454 SL below 448 10/16/2013 : 

6:05:58 PM)) CMP 454 10/16/2013 : 9:06:35 PM



Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal Live Trade on Copper on 16.10.13

Copper mcx nov: Buy at present level (cmp 450.80) Upto 450.40 Target 454 SL below 448 10/16/2013 : 6:05:58 PM



Beginner's Paper Trade Dairy by Live Signal Live Trade on Nickel on 16.10.13

NickelM
Buy  @ 860
Sell  @ 861
Net Profit Rs 100/-


Nickel
Buy  @ 860
Sell  @ 861
Net Profit - Rs 250/-

Methods for systematic trading

Trading has many methods. A trader is only very successful if he implements the best method suitable for his business and makes a profit from it. They need to compute the risk and loss for a certain business proposal and plan.

They need to know about the real time data, the market condition, the stock prices and many more. So they must do study about all these facts and then start a new trade for sure success. These are the basic success secrets of a successful merchant.

What is the Amibroker?

Technology has advanced a great deal from the past and now you can employ the computer to do your work to a great extent. Now you do not need to write with your hands all the time but type it in the computer likewise you can employ different softwares to compute the technical analysis of your business.

Very popular software for this purpose is the Amibroker. This software is simply recommended for its different eye-catching features. They are:-


  • It is very much affordable. The license fee is really reasonably priced and it comes with free updates for 12 months
  • You can find numerous articles and tutorial programs on the internet for how to use it successfully.
  • No high level languages are employed and you can use them as it always communicates in your semantic
  • You get the past stock data and you can implement it for the technical analysis.
  • It is really very flexible and reliable. It will compute any trading analysis with your accuracy
  • A very attractive feature is its customized behaviour. There is no limitation of the process to the limit is only your resourcefulness
  • Compatibility with various types of Operating Systems is really a very comfortable behaviour of this software. It is compatible with Windows XP, Windows 7, windows Vista, and Windows 8.

Tuesday 15 October 2013

Live Signal Live Trade on Nickel on 15.10.13

NickelM
Sell @ 866.50
Buy @ 860.00
Net Profit - Rs 650/-

Nickel
Sell @ 866.50
Buy @ 860.00
Net Profit - Rs 1625/-

Live Signal and Live Trade On 15.10.13 on NickelM


For Nickel M - Lot Size 100
Buy @ 864.50
Sell @ 866.50..Net Profit Rs 200/-

For Nickel  - Lot Size 250
Buy @ 864.50
Sell @ 866.50..Net Profit Rs 500/-

Beginner's Paper Trade on Live Trading Calls on 14.10.13 Part 2

1.LeadM Mcx Oct: Buy at present levels(CMP 128.45) And on dips to 128.20, TGT 130, SL 127 10/14/2013 : 12:13:39 PM




4. Copper mcx nov: Buy at present level (cmp 448) upto 448.20 Target 451 SL below 445 10/14/2013 : 12:19:49 PM

With corrected levels ((Copper mcx nov: Buy at present level (cmp 449) upto 448.20 Target 452 SL below 445.20)) 10/14/2013 : 12:21:01 PM

5.Alumini mcx Oct: Buy at present levels(CMP113.55) And on dips to 113.30, TGT 115, SL below 112.20 10/14/2013 : 1:02:08 PM

Beginner's Paper Trade on Live Trading Calls on 14.10.13. Part 1

1. Nickel Mcx OCt: Buy at present level cmp 852.5 And on dips upto 850 tgt 866 sl below 840 10/14/2013 : 12:07:57 PM





2. ZincM Mcx Oct: Buy at present levels(CMP 116.05 And on dips to 115.80, TGT 117.40, SL below 114.70 10/14/2013 : 12:06:52 PM




Saturday 5 October 2013

Psychological Pitfalls of Commodity Trading



Here are some additional psychological pitfalls to avoid. Be wary of depending on others for your success. Most of the people you are likely to trust are probably not effective traders. For instance: brokers, gurus, advisors, friends. There are exceptions, but not many. Depend on others only for clerical help or to support your own decision-making process.

You may acquire trading methods or systems from others or from books, but be sure to test them carefully yourself before trading. Good systems that you can buy come with computer software that allows comprehensive historical testing.

Don't blame others for your failures. This is an easy trap to fall into. No matter what happens, you put yourself into the situation. Therefore, you are responsible for the ultimate result. Until you accept responsibility for everything, you will not be able to change your incorrect behaviors.

Stay long-term oriented. Don't adjust your approach based solely on short-term performance. Through luck, any horrible system can look great, even for relatively long periods of time. Conversely, the best systems have frequent losing periods. If you judge a system by short-term performance, you are likely to reject the best systems that exist.

Most traders have such an ego investment in their trading that they cannot handle losses. Several losses in a row are devastating. This causes them to evaluate trading methods and systems based on very-short-term performance. Don't start trading a system based on only a few trades, and don't lose confidence in one after only a few losses. Evaluate performance based on many trades and multi-year results.

Don't underestimate the psychological difficulty of successful trading. The Elements of Successful Trading: "Trading is one of the most stressful endeavors imaginable. Taking losses day after day with a strategy that, just a short while ago was working well, can be a terrible experience. Trading performance can be consistently volatile with good and bad times highly magnified. The market can batter your psyche and gnaw at your soul. These bad experiences will never end as long as you trade. The more successful you are as a trader, the more money you will lose."

Keep trading in correct perspective and as part of a balanced life. Trading is emotionally intensive no matter whether you are doing well or going in the tank. It is easy to let the emotions of the moment lead you into strategic and tactical blunders.

Don't become too elated during successful periods. One of the biggest mistakes traders make is to increase their trading after an especially successful period. This is the worst thing you can do because good periods are invariably followed by awful periods. If you increase your trading just before the awful periods, you will lose money twice as fast as you made it.

Knowing how to increase trading in a growing account is perhaps the most difficult problem for successful traders. Be cautious in adding to your trading. The best times to add are after losses or equity drawdowns.

Don't become too depressed during drawdowns. Trading is a lot like golf. All golfers, regardless of their ability, have cycles of good play and poor play. When a golfer is playing well, he assumes he has found some secret in his swing and will never play poorly again. When he is hitting the ball sideways, he despairs that he will never come out of his slump.

Trading is much the same. When you are making money, you are thinking about how wonderful trading is and how to expand your trading to achieve immense wealth. When you are losing, you often think about giving up trading completely. With a little practice, you can control both emotional extremes. You'll probably never control them completely, but at least don't let elation and despair cause you to make unwarranted changes in your approach.

Other common themes of good traders are self-understanding, balance and self-control. If you can master yourself, you can master the futures markets.